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Bank to business lending growth to halve amid global tensions

February 23, 2026
in Asia

UK Bank Lending Forecast to Halve for Businesses Amid Global Tensions

In today’s fast-paced global economy, businesses are constantly facing a multitude of challenges. With the ongoing trade tensions and political uncertainties, it is no surprise that businesses are feeling the pinch. One area that is significantly impacted is the lending sector, as businesses rely heavily on loans from banks to sustain and grow their operations. In the United Kingdom, the forecast for bank lending to businesses this year is not particularly optimistic, with a projected halving of growth.

According to experts, net growth in the value of lending from the banking sector to businesses is expected to slow down to 3.5 percent this year, standing at just half of the 6.9 percent growth seen in the previous year. This is a significant decrease and certainly a cause for concern for businesses across the country. The slowdown in lending growth is a reflection of the challenging conditions that businesses are currently facing.

One of the main reasons for the projected slowdown in lending growth is the ongoing global tensions and uncertainties. The looming Brexit deadline, the US-China trade war, and other geopolitical issues have all contributed to a sense of instability in the market. This not only affects businesses directly but also makes banks more cautious about lending, as they too are exposed to these risks. As a result, loans become harder to secure and businesses are left struggling to obtain the necessary funds to support their operations and expansion plans.

The forecasted slowdown in bank lending growth is not only a concern for businesses but also for the overall economy. SMEs, in particular, are expected to feel the impact as they heavily rely on bank loans for their day-to-day operations. With reduced access to financing, businesses may be forced to scale back on their growth plans, resulting in a domino effect on the economy.

However, it is important to note that this projected slowdown in lending growth does not mean that banks are not lending at all. In fact, experts believe that the overall volume of lending will still see an increase this year, just at a slower pace than before. This means that businesses can still have access to financing, but they may need to be more strategic and selective in their borrowing.

Despite the challenges, businesses should not lose hope. The UK banking sector is known for its resilience and has been through many ups and downs in the past. In fact, the sector has shown remarkable growth in lending over the past few years, which has helped support the growth of businesses and the economy as a whole. With the right measures in place, the banking sector can overcome the current challenges and continue to support businesses in their growth journey.

Moreover, there are steps that businesses can take to mitigate the impact of the projected slowdown in lending growth. First and foremost, businesses should ensure that their financials are in order and that they have a solid business plan in place. This will not only make them more attractive to banks but also reduce the risk in the eyes of lenders. Furthermore, businesses should explore alternative funding options, such as crowdfunding or peer-to-peer lending, to diversify their sources of financing.

In conclusion, while the forecast for bank lending to businesses in the UK may not be as rosy as we would like, it is not all doom and gloom. With the right approach and resilience, both businesses and banks can overcome the challenges and continue to grow and thrive. It is crucial for all stakeholders to work together to find solutions and support each other in these challenging times. The UK banking sector has proven its strength and adaptability time and time again, and it will undoubtedly do so once again. Let us remain positive and motivated, and together we can weather any storm.

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